Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Emon Van Loben Sels and Iiro Vasa in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emon Van Loben Sels' if Emon Van Loben Sels advances against Iiro Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Iiro Vasa' if Iiro Vasa advances against Emon Van Loben Sels. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Emon Van Loben Sels vs Iiro Vasa | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Emon Van Loben Sels faces Iiro Vasa in an ITF Men's event at Lakewood, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match is set for 1:15 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 10 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, reflecting either minimal trader interest or a consensus that one player holds a decisive advantage. The 0% implied probability suggests the market has already priced in a strong favourite, though the absence of trading activity means this figure may not reflect genuine conviction so much as a lack of matched orders at any price level.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF Men's circuit, where surface conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records typically drive outcomes. Van Loben Sels and Vasa occupy similar ranking bands within the ITF ecosystem, making this a competitive fixture rather than a mismatch. Historical ITF matches at Lakewood have produced competitive results across all seedings, and the venue offers no documented surface bias that would systematically favour one player type.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP Challenger Tour announcements for any withdrawal, injury, or schedule changes between now and the match date. Weather conditions at Lakewood in early June occasionally affect outdoor clay or hard courts. Any late withdrawal would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally altering the market's risk profile. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing buffer for weather delays, though matches abandoned mid-play favour the player leading at suspension.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Emon Van Loben Sels vs Iiro Vasa" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: