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Tennis

Trade: ITF Banja Luka: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Ella Haavisto

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau and Ella Haavisto in the ITF Women Banja Luka, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau' if Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau advances against Ella Haavisto. This market will resolve to 'Ella Haavisto' if Ella Haavisto advances against Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$534
Total Volume
$118
24h Volume
$118
Open Interest
$118
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Market outcomes

Completed Match 50% YES50% NO
ITF Banja Luka: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Ella Haavisto 16% YES84% NO

Market context

Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau, an Argentine ITF competitor, faces Finland's Ella Haavisto in the ITF Women's tournament at Banja Luka, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The market currently reflects a 50–50 split across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders perceive minimal separation between the two players' winning chances. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50–50 resolution.

Both players operate primarily within ITF circuits rather than WTA main tours, making historical head-to-head records sparse and recent form data limited. Gobbi Monllau has competed across South American and European ITF events, whilst Haavisto has focused on Nordic and Central European tournaments. The even probability likely reflects the absence of clear ranking separation or recent direct matchup data; traders are pricing this as a genuine coin flip absent concrete performance differentials. ITF draws can shift rapidly based on late withdrawals or scheduling changes, particularly at lower-tier events where player availability fluctuates.

Key catalysts include official tournament draw confirmation and any last-minute player withdrawals, which would alter the market substantially. Weather conditions in Banja Luka during early June could affect scheduling. Traders should monitor ITF live rankings and recent tournament results from both players in the weeks preceding the event, as form shifts in May 2026 could justify repricing away from the current equilibrium.

Wikipedia Context

  • 2025 ITF Bengaluru Open

    The 2025 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the second edition of the tournament which is part of the 2025 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 20 and 26 January 2025.

  • 2026 ITF Bengaluru Open

    The 2026 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the third edition of the tournament which is part of the 2026 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 16 and 22 February 2026.

  • ITF Bengaluru Open

    The ITF Bengaluru Open is a tournament for professional female tennis players played on outdoor Hard courts. The event is classified as a $100,000 ITF Women's Circuit tournament and has been held in Bengaluru, India, since 2024.

  • Irfan Jauhari

    Irfan Jauhari is an Indonesian professional footballer who plays as a winger or forward for Super League club Persis Solo.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "ITF Banja Luka: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Ella Haavisto" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$118 in lifetime turnover and $534 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $118 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "ITF Banja Luka: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Ella Haavisto"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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