Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alba Maria Coromina Boluda and Laura Mair in the ITF Women Oliva, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alba Maria Coromina Boluda' if Alba Maria Coromina Boluda advances against Laura Mair. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Alba Maria Coromina Boluda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Oliva: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Laura Mair | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alba Maria Coromina Boluda faces Laura Mair in a women's ITF match scheduled for 28 May 2026 in Oliva. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Coromina Boluda's victory, indicating that traders are pricing her as an overwhelming underdog or that insufficient liquidity exists to establish meaningful odds. This extreme pricing typically emerges when one player holds a substantial ranking advantage, recent form differential, or head-to-head record that the market has already priced in decisively.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level often see wide probability swings based on player ranking disparities and recent tournament results. Coromina Boluda and Mair compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where outcomes can be volatile; however, a 0% probability suggests the market has identified a clear favourite based on available data. Comparable ITF matches with similar ranking gaps have occasionally produced upsets, though these remain statistical outliers that the current pricing does not reflect.
Traders should monitor tournament draws confirmation, any player withdrawal announcements, and late-stage fitness updates through the ITF's official schedule leading to the 28 May date. Surface conditions in Oliva and recent performance at comparable clay-court events will influence whether the current extreme pricing holds. The settlement window extends to 4 June, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion or rescheduling before the 50-50 tie-break resolution triggers.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Oliva: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Laura Mair" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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