Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Bordeaux, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Aleksandar Vukic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 Winner | 37% YES | 63% NO |
| Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 22.5 | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Aleksandar Vukic and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard are scheduled to meet in the Bordeaux tournament on 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Vukic's advancement at 36 per cent implied probability, reflecting a significant favourite position for Perricard. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity where the spread between bid and ask orders determines the settlement odds visible to incoming traders.
Vukic, an Australian left-hander ranked outside the top 100, has shown inconsistent form on the ATP circuit with limited success on clay courts, where Bordeaux is contested. Perricard, a French player with stronger recent momentum and clay-court pedigree, typically commands favouritism in home-nation tournaments. Historical patterns suggest French players receive modest home-court pricing advantages in domestic events, though this effect varies with relative ranking and recent form. The 36 per cent probability assigned to Vukic aligns with typical underdog pricing for lower-ranked challengers facing established clay specialists.
Traders should monitor injury reports and withdrawal announcements through to the settlement window closing on 21 May. Tournament scheduling changes, whilst uncommon, occasionally occur when weather disrupts the calendar or player withdrawals force bracket restructuring. Recent ATP communications regarding the Bordeaux event should be tracked through official ATP and tournament channels. Surface conditions and court assignments, typically released days before matches, may shift perceived advantage if either player has documented strengths or weaknesses on specific court types within the venue.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $30K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: