Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 8:00PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Atlanta Dream will face the Minnesota Lynx on 9 May at 8:00 PM ET in a regular-season WNBA matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, indicating that traders are pricing in near-certainty that the game will be completed and settled to either Dream or Lynx victory. This extreme confidence in market completion suggests minimal perceived risk of postponement or cancellation, though the settlement window extends to 10 May at midnight ET to accommodate any scheduling adjustments.
Historical WNBA game completion rates remain exceptionally high, with cancellations or indefinite postponements occurring in fewer than 1% of regular-season fixtures over the past decade. The league's established protocols for weather delays and venue issues typically result in rescheduled games rather than outright cancellations, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. The current probability formation reflects this structural reliability, with traders assigning negligible probability mass to the cancellation scenario.
Traders monitoring this market should track roster availability for both teams in the days preceding the fixture, particularly injury reports filed under WNBA's standard disclosure requirements. Minnesota's recent performance and Atlanta's home-court dynamics at State Farm Arena will inform directional sentiment once the game commences. The absence of any scheduled league-wide events or labour disruptions on the settlement date further supports the high completion probability currently observed on the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wnba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$94K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $93K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wnba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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