Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Djorden Santos" if Djorden Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Baisangur Susurkaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Baisangur Susurkaev" if Baisangur Susurkaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Santos to win by KO/TKO? | 22% YES | 78% NO |
| Susurkaev to win by KO/TKO? | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Fight won by submission? | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 63% YES | 38% NO |
Djorden Santos faces Baisangur Susurkaev in a middleweight early preliminary bout at UFC 328, scheduled for 9 May 2026 in conjunction with the Chimaev versus Strickland main card. The current order book on Polymarket prices Santos at 14% implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for Susurkaev. Early preliminary fights typically attract less analytical attention than main card bouts, which can create pricing inefficiencies when one fighter carries notable credentials or recent momentum that the broader market has underweighted.
Santos and Susurkaev represent contrasting career trajectories within the middleweight division's lower-ranked tier. Comparable early preliminary matchups at recent UFC events have shown that fighters with established winning streaks or notable submission records often trade at odds misaligned with their historical performance data. The 14% pricing suggests the market views Susurkaev as a clear favourite, though this assessment depends heavily on recent fight footage, injury status and training camp reports that may shift substantially between now and fight week.
Traders should monitor official UFC roster updates and fighter social media for injury announcements or withdrawal news through the settlement window closing 10 May 2026. Weight-cut complications or last-minute coaching changes occasionally surface for early preliminary fighters. The fight's position on the card means it will likely occur early on 9 May, with results typically available within hours. Any cancellation or postponement beyond 23 May triggers a 50-50 resolution, though this remains an unlikely scenario for a scheduled bout this far in advance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/events. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$201K in lifetime turnover and $155K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $184K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/events. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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