Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Najmah Saudi Club, scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club match originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Al Fateh and Al Najmah will contest a Saudi Professional League fixture on 14 May 2026. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 49% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting genuine uncertainty about whether the final whistle will produce one of the listed scorelines or fall into the "Any Other Score" category. With settlement at 15:55 UTC—roughly five hours after kick-off—traders are pricing the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Exact-score markets in domestic leagues typically see the listed outcomes capture 55–70% of matches, depending on the specificity of the listed results and the teams' historical scoring patterns. Al Fateh and Al Najmah occupy mid-table positions in the Saudi Professional League; neither side is a prolific scorer nor defensively dominant. Historical fixture data between these clubs and their recent form will inform whether scorelines cluster around low-scoring draws (0–0, 1–1) or modest wins (1–0, 2–1). The 49% probability suggests the order book is pricing meaningful probability mass into "Any Other Score," indicating traders expect either an unusual result or genuine unpredictability in the final tally.
Key variables include team news and injury status, which typically emerge in the 48–72 hours before Saudi Professional League matches. Weather conditions in Riyadh in mid-May—potentially affecting ball movement and player fatigue—and any fixture congestion affecting either squad's preparation warrant monitoring. Recent form, particularly goal-scoring consistency and defensive solidity, will sharpen probability estimates as match day approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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