Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Scottish Premiership game between Dundee United FC and Livingston FC, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Dundee United FC vs. Livingston FC match originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
Dundee United and Livingston will meet in a Scottish Premiership fixture on 12 May 2026, with settlement contingent on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 5% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting precise scorelines; exact-score markets typically concentrate probability mass across a small number of outcomes, with the "Any Other Score" category capturing the majority of trading activity. This particular pairing shows modest liquidity formation around the most common Scottish Premiership results, with traders pricing in the relative strength differential between the clubs.
Historical data from Scottish Premiership exact-score markets demonstrates that outcomes settling to listed scorelines occur in roughly 20–25% of cases, depending on the teams involved and their respective attacking and defensive profiles. Dundee United and Livingston have typically produced lower-scoring encounters, with 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results accounting for a significant share of their head-to-head record. The 5% probability assigned to the market's YES outcome suggests traders are pricing a specific scoreline with modest backing, likely reflecting either a narrow win for one side or a draw.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season may affect squad rotation decisions. Recent Scottish Premiership scheduling announcements typically confirm fixture details 4–6 weeks prior; any postponement would extend the settlement window accordingly, keeping the market open until completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://spfl.co.uk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dundee United FC vs. Livingston FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://spfl.co.uk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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