Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between Sport Boys Association and Cusco FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Sport Boys Association | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Draw (Sport Boys Association vs. Cusco FC) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Cusco FC | 35% YES | 65% NO |
Sport Boys Association will host Cusco FC in a Peru Liga 1 fixture on Saturday, 16 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Sport Boys victory at 42% implied probability, reflecting modest confidence in the home side despite their nominal advantage. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and represents the marginal consensus across active market participants as of today.
Sport Boys Association competes in Peru's top division from a Lima base and typically commands home-ground support, though their recent form and league position relative to Cusco FC will substantially influence match outcomes. Historical matchups between these sides, along with their respective records in comparable fixture congestion periods, provide context for evaluating whether 42% adequately compensates for home-field effects. Cusco FC's altitude advantage when playing away from their high-elevation stadium can also factor into physical conditioning expectations, though this fixture occurs at sea level in Lima.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Peru Liga 1 fixture confirmations through mid-May, particularly regarding squad availability and any late tactical adjustments. Cusco FC's recent league standing and any injury announcements from either camp in the fortnight before the match will move the order book. Weather conditions in Lima on match day—rainfall can favour certain playing styles—may also shift probabilities in the final hours before settlement on 17 May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Sport Boys Association vs. Cusco FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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