Trade: CS Cienciano vs. Club Alianza Lima - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cienciano and Club Alianza Lima, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Cienciano vs. Club Alianza Lima match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $27K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
CS Cienciano will face Club Alianza Lima in Peru's Liga 1 on 16 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently prices an exact score outcome at 4% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting the substantial number of possible final scorelines in football matches. This low probability is consistent with how exact-score markets typically function: whilst any single scoreline is individually unlikely, the aggregate probability across all possible outcomes must sum to 100%.
Alianza Lima enters the 2026 season as one of Peru's traditional powerhouses, having competed consistently in Copa Libertadores qualification positions in recent years. Cienciano, based in Cusco, operates at a lower competitive tier within Liga 1. Historical matchups between clubs of differing quality tend to produce narrow margins, with scorelines clustering around 1–0, 2–0, or 2–1 results rather than high-scoring affairs. The current 4% probability on the order book suggests traders are pricing in the baseline statistical rarity of any exact scoreline, without material adjustment for team-specific factors.
Traders should monitor team news closer to the fixture date, including injury reports and squad rotation patterns typical of mid-season Liga 1 scheduling. Altitude considerations matter for Cusco-based fixtures, potentially affecting match tempo and fatigue profiles. Any fixture postponement would extend the settlement window; the market remains open until completion. Recent Peru Liga 1 scheduling has generally proceeded without disruption, though weather and administrative factors warrant attention in the weeks preceding the match.
Wikipedia Context
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CiencianoClub Cienciano, more commonly known as Cienciano, is a Peruvian professional football club based in Cusco, that currently plays in the Peruvian Primera División. It gained worldwide recognition after defeating River Plate in the finals of the 2003 Copa Sudamericana and Boca Juniors in the 2004 Recopa Sudamericana. The club is considered the largest and most
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Cienciano in South American football
Peruvian professional football club Cienciano has participated in 12 editions of club competitions governed by CONMEBOL, the chief authority in South American football. These include 6 seasons in the Copa Libertadores, 5 seasons in the Copa Sudamericana, and 1 match in the Recopa Sudamericana. The club plays its home matches at the Estadio Garcilaso but has
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2003 Cienciano season
The 2003 season was Cienciano's season since its founding in 1901. The club participated in the 2003 Torneo Descentralizado and 2003 Copa Sudamericana. This season was one of the most successful seasons for Cienciano as they won the 2003 Copa Sudamericana, the first and only international title for a Peruvian club.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "CS Cienciano vs. Club Alianza Lima - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "CS Cienciano vs. Club Alianza Lima - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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