Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between St. Louis City SC and Los Angeles FC, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
St. Louis City SC will face Los Angeles FC in an MLS regular season match on 13 May 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unspecified scoreline resolving to "Any Other Score." The 32% implied probability reflected in Polymarket's order book suggests traders currently assess a specific scoreline as moderately unlikely, though the fragmentation across multiple possible outcomes means individual scores naturally carry lower probabilities than broader match results.
Historical MLS scoring patterns show that exact score markets typically concentrate probability mass on low-scoring outcomes: 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results account for roughly 40–50% of regular season matches. LAFC has historically favoured attacking play under recent management, whilst St. Louis City SC has developed a more defensive approach since their 2023 inaugural season. Head-to-head records and recent form will shift the distribution, but the current 32% probability suggests the market is pricing in either a relatively uncommon scoreline or distributing confidence across several plausible results.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries and squad availability in the weeks preceding the fixture, as absences of key attacking or defensive players materially alter scoring likelihood. Fixture congestion in the MLS schedule and any weather alerts for the venue may also influence tactical approaches. Recent league-wide trends in scoring rates, available through official MLS statistics, provide calibration for whether 2026 season matches are trending higher or lower than historical averages.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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