Trade: CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC - More Markets
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for May 26 at 8:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $3K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| CR Flamengo (-1.5) | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Cusco FC (-1.5) | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| Cusco FC (-2.5) | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| CR Flamengo (-2.5) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
Market context
Flamengo will face Cusco FC in a Copa Libertadores group-stage match on 26 May at 8:30 PM ET. The fixture represents a significant asymmetry in continental pedigree: Flamengo, a two-time Libertadores champion with consistent qualification to knockout stages, faces a Peruvian side competing in their first group phase since 2019. Historical matchups between Brazilian Serie A clubs and Peruvian representatives show a win rate favouring the Brazilian sides at roughly 65–70%, though Cusco's altitude advantage (3,400 metres) has historically compressed expected margins by 8–12 percentage points in their favour.
The current 48% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty around team selection and form heading into late May. Flamengo's domestic campaign and injury status remain critical variables; any significant absences in their attacking line would narrow their expected output. Cusco's recent Copa Sudamericana performances and whether they field a full-strength squad will likewise shape match dynamics. Settlement closes on 27 May at 00:30 UTC, allowing roughly four hours post-match for official confirmation. Traders should monitor team news releases from both clubs in the week prior, as Copa Libertadores fixtures often see late squad rotations given the compressed fixture calendar in May.
Wikipedia Context
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CR FlamengoClube de Regatas do Flamengo, more commonly referred to as simply Flamengo, is a Brazilian multi-sports club based in Rio de Janeiro, in the neighborhood of Gávea. It was founded and named after the Flamengo neighborhood in 1895 and is best known for its professional football team. Flamengo is one of two clubs to have never been relegated from the top divisi
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CR Flamengo (youth)
The Clube de Regatas do Flamengo Youth Academy are the youth academy of Clube de Regatas do Flamengo, a Brazilian football club based in Rio de Janeiro. Is composed of several youth teams and is considered one of the most prolific football academies in Brazil as also in the world.
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CR Flamengo training ground fireThe Flamengo training ground fire was a fatal fire incident that occurred at the training grounds of the Brazilian football team Flamengo in the early morning of February 8, 2019, killing ten youth players and leaving three injured. The event is also known as Ninho do Urubu fire, as it occurred at the George Helal Training Center, also known as Ninho do Urub
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CR Flamengo (women)
Clube de Regatas do Flamengo, commonly known as Flamengo, is a professional women's association football club based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Founded in 1995, the team is affiliated with FFERJ and play their home games at Estádio da Gávea. The team colors, reflected in their logo and uniform, are red and black. They play in the top tier of women's football
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://conmebollibertadores.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://conmebollibertadores.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 27 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC - More Markets"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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