Trade: Elche CF vs. Getafe CF - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga game between Elche CF and Getafe CF, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Elche CF vs. Getafe CF match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $38K
- Total Volume
- $16
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $16
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
Market context
Elche CF and Getafe CF will meet on 17 May 2026 in a La Liga fixture, with settlement determined by the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 14% implied probability for this specific outcome, suggesting the crowd views an exact-score prediction as a relatively unlikely event given the range of possible scorelines in professional football matches.
Exact-score markets in La Liga typically settle at low probabilities across all outcomes, as the combinatorial nature of possible results—ranging from 0–0 through to high-scoring draws and wins—fragments liquidity across dozens of listed options. Historical data from similar European league fixtures shows that any single exact score rarely exceeds 15–20% implied probability unless one team is heavily favoured and a narrow victory is the consensus expectation. The current 14% probability sits within this typical range, reflecting neither exceptional confidence in a particular scoreline nor unusual uncertainty about the match itself.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel for either side. La Liga's fixture congestion in May can affect squad rotation decisions, whilst any late-season form swings or managerial changes could shift expectations around goal-scoring patterns. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing approximately four hours after kick-off for final confirmation of the result.
Wikipedia Context
-
Elche CFElche Club de Fútbol, S.A.D. is a Spanish professional football club based in Elche, Province of Alicante, in the Valencian Community, Spain. Founded in 1923, the club competes in La Liga, holding home matches at the Estadio Martínez Valero, with a capacity of 33,732 seats.
-
Elche CF IlicitanoElche Ilicitano Club de Fútbol, known officially as Elche Ilicitano is a Spanish football team based in Elche, in the autonomous community of Valencia. Founded in 1932 as Club Deportivo Ilicitano, it is the reserve team of Elche CF, and plays in Segunda Federación – Group 5, holding home games at the Estadio José Díez Iborra, with a capacity of 1,500 seats.
-
Elcho CastleElcho Castle is located close to the south bank of the River Tay approximately four miles south-east of Perth, Scotland, in the region of Perth and Kinross. It was maintained by Clan Wemyss from its construction around 1560 until it was put into the care of the Secretary of State for Scotland in the early 20th century, though was not occupied for the entire
-
Elche de la SierraElche de la Sierra is a municipality in Albacete, Castile-La Mancha, Spain. This province belongs to the autonomous community of Castilla-La Mancha. It had a population of 3,943 at the beginning of 2010 as reported by the country's National Statistics Institute.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Elche CF vs. Getafe CF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$16 in lifetime turnover and $38K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Elche CF vs. Getafe CF - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: