Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin and Adhithya Ganesan in the ITF Men Pensacola, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin' if Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin advances against Adhithya Ganesan. This market will resolve to 'Adhithya Ganesan' if Adhithya Ganesan advances against Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Pensacola: Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin vs Adhithya Ganesan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The ITF Men's Pensacola tournament will host a match between Brazilian player Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin and Indian player Adhithya Ganesan on 13 May 2026. The current Polymarket order book shows 0% implied probability for Ceolin's advancement, reflecting either extreme confidence in Ganesan or minimal trading activity establishing a price discovery mechanism. With settlement occurring on 20 May 2026, traders have a week-long window to assess match outcomes and any potential delays.
Ceolin and Ganesan compete primarily on the ITF Men's circuit, where outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. ITF tournaments typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 200, with results often determined by consistency rather than dominant ranking advantages. The 0% probability suggests either the market has not yet attracted sufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful price, or traders possess information suggesting Ganesan is heavily favoured based on recent performances or draw positioning.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament schedules and any player withdrawal announcements in the days preceding 13 May. Weather conditions in Pensacola during May could affect scheduling, whilst injury updates or late draw changes might shift expectations. The seven-day delay clause means matches postponed beyond 20 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating a distinct risk factor. Current liquidity constraints appear to be the primary driver of the extreme probability reading rather than substantive match analysis.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Pensacola: Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin vs Adhithya Ganesan" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$119 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $119 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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