Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between San Marino and Bangladesh, scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Marino vs. Bangladesh match originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
San Marino and Bangladesh will contest a FIFA International Friendly on 5 June 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome resolving to "Any Other Score." Current order book activity implies a 49% probability for one of the explicitly listed scorelines, suggesting traders are pricing substantial uncertainty around which specific result will materialise.
Exact-score markets in international friendlies typically reflect wide probability distributions because these matches feature asymmetric quality gaps yet unpredictable individual performances. San Marino ranks 210th in FIFA standings whilst Bangladesh sits at 184th, yet friendly matches frequently produce unexpected results due to squad rotation, experimental tactics, and reduced intensity compared to competitive fixtures. Historical precedent shows that when lower-ranked sides meet, low-scoring draws and narrow defeats cluster around 0–1 and 1–1 outcomes, though the tail risk of higher-scoring matches remains material given the defensive vulnerabilities both teams have demonstrated.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and team news in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly injury updates and whether either federation deploys experimental lineups. Fixture scheduling—whether this friendly falls during a domestic league break or mid-season—will influence player availability and match intensity. The settlement window closes 5 June at 17:00 UTC, allowing minimal time for delayed kick-off or rescheduling. Any postponement would extend the market open until completion, creating duration risk for positions held through that window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "San Marino vs. Bangladesh - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $67 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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