Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Georgia and Bahrain, scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Georgia vs. Bahrain match originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Georgia and Bahrain will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 5 June 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome settling as "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability for YES reflects current order book pricing on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the match concludes with one of the explicitly listed scorelines rather than an alternative result.
Friendly matches between nations of disparate competitive levels typically produce wider score distributions than competitive fixtures. Georgia, ranked around 74th globally, faces Bahrain, typically ranked in the 180s–190s range. Historical precedent suggests such pairings generate outcomes spanning 1–0 victories through 4+ goal margins, with draws less common when quality gaps are pronounced. The specificity required here—matching an exact scoreline rather than predicting a winner or goal range—naturally concentrates probability across the most probable outcomes whilst dispersing remainder probability across numerous alternatives.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding Georgia's key attacking personnel. Friendly match scheduling occasionally shifts or cancels due to logistical constraints or late fixture congestion during the international calendar. The settlement window closes 5 June 2026 at 18:00 UTC, allowing minimal post-match resolution window, so confirmation of the fixture's completion and official score certification will be critical for timely settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Georgia vs. Bahrain - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $88 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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