Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player who wins the English Premier League Player of the Month Award for May 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the English Premier League. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is declared by June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the English Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Rayan Cherki | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pascal Gross | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Noah Okafor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Alex Scott | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player B | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jarrod Bowen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The English Premier League awards a Player of the Month honour each calendar month based on voting by fans, official observers, and a panel of experts. The May 2026 award will recognise the standout performer across that month's fixture schedule, typically decided by mid-June. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the substantial uncertainty inherent in any monthly award market this far in advance—nearly a year before the relevant fixtures occur. With no trading activity yet established, the probability sits at its floor, indicating that market participants have not yet begun positioning ahead of the 2025–26 season's conclusion.
Historical precedent shows that Player of the Month awards concentrate around in-form forwards and attacking midfielders, though defenders and goalkeepers occasionally win during periods of exceptional defensive solidity. Winners typically accumulate goals, assists, or clean sheets during their award month; consistency across all four or five weeks matters more than a single standout performance. Past winners have included Mohamed Salah, Harry Kane, and Son Heung-min, though the award rotates among top-six clubs' players most frequently.
Traders should monitor team fixture congestion in May 2026, injury patterns as the season approaches its climax, and any managerial changes that might affect playing time for key performers. The Premier League's official announcement of the award winner typically arrives within two weeks of the month's conclusion. Early positioning in this market will depend largely on pre-season form and squad stability during the 2025–26 campaign.
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Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "EPL: April 2026 Player of the Month" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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