Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Monday, May 4, 2026 between El Ittihad SC El Iskandary and Petrojet SC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| El Ittihad SC El Iskandary | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Petrojet SC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary will face Petrojet SC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on Monday, 4 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, meaning traders are pricing in either a Petrojet victory or a draw as the only plausible results. This extreme skew reflects either strong conviction about Petrojet's form or El Ittihad's recent performance collapse, though such binary pricing often signals thin liquidity rather than certainty.
Egyptian Premier League matches between mid-table sides frequently settle on narrow margins, and historical precedent suggests that 0% probabilities in this fixture class rarely hold through to settlement. El Ittihad has competed in Egypt's top division for decades with inconsistent results; Petrojet, founded in 2007, has shown volatility in league position. When comparable matches between these clubs have been priced at extreme edges, late-season injuries, fixture congestion, or managerial changes have often shifted outcomes away from consensus.
Traders should monitor team news releases and injury reports in the fortnight before 4 May, particularly regarding key forwards or defensive personnel. Egyptian Premier League scheduling can shift, and fixture postponements due to continental competitions (CAF Champions League or Confederation Cup) occasionally affect May fixtures. Recent form tables and head-to-head records from the 2025–26 season will clarify whether the current pricing reflects genuine dominance or market inefficiency.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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