Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Hyderabad Kingsmen and Rawalpindi Pindiz scheduled for 2026-04-26 in Pakistan Super League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Hyderabad Kingsmen will be considered correct if Hyderabad Kingsmen is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Rawalpindi Pindiz.The outcome corresponding to Rawalpindi Pindiz will be considered correct if Rawalpindi Pindiz is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Hyderabad Kingsmen.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| HYD | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RAW | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Pakistan Super League fixture between Hyderabad Kingsmen and Rawalpindi Pindiz on 26 April 2026 will determine which side strikes more sixes across the match. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certainty outcome. This extreme probability typically emerges when one side is heavily favoured based on squad composition, recent form, or venue characteristics, though such pricing leaves minimal margin and suggests either strong consensus or thin liquidity in the order book.
Historical PSL data shows six-hitting variance depends heavily on batting depth and middle-order aggression. Teams with established T20 hitters—particularly those featuring overseas players with proven strike-rotation records—consistently outscore opponents in boundary counts. Rawalpindi's squad composition and recent tournament performance relative to Hyderabad's roster will be the primary determinant; teams batting first typically accumulate more sixes if they post substantial totals, whilst chasing sides may hit fewer if targeting singles and doubles for run-rate efficiency.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and any late injury news before the settlement window closes on 3 May. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground, including outfield dimensions and recent pitch behaviour in the tournament, will influence six-hitting frequency. Weather forecasts closer to match day may also shift expectations around scoring patterns. The current 100% pricing warrants scrutiny—such extremes often reflect incomplete information or one-sided order flow rather than genuine certainty.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Rawalpindi Pindiz - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$350 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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