Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chile Primera game, scheduled for May 29 at 8:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Universidad de Concepción (-2.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| CD Unión La Calera (-2.5) | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| CD Universidad de Concepción (-1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| CD Unión La Calera (-1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
CD Universidad de Concepción will host CD Unión La Calera in Chile's Primera División on 29 May at 8:30 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 39% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting the market is pricing in either a draw or a Calera victory as more likely than a Concepción win. Settlement occurs at 00:30 UTC on 30 May, immediately following the final whistle.
Both clubs occupy mid-table positions in the Chilean league, with Concepción holding a marginal home advantage. Historical matchups between these sides have been competitive, with neither club establishing clear dominance. Concepción's home record this season provides some backing for the YES case, though Calera's away form has been respectable enough to keep the probability capped below 50%. The 39% reading reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a strong consensus.
Traders should monitor team news through 29 May, particularly regarding injuries to key players or tactical adjustments announced in the days before kick-off. Concepción's recent form in home matches and Calera's current league position will influence late order flow. Weather conditions in Concepción and any late lineup confirmations posted by either club could shift the probability in the final hours before settlement. The relatively tight probability band suggests the market has already priced in available public information.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Unión La Calera - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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