Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chile Primera game between CD Coquimbo Unido and Audax CS Italiano, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano match originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 8% YES | 93% NO |
CD Coquimbo Unido will face Audax CS Italiano in Chile's Primera División on 15 May 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 5% implied probability, reflecting the current order book on Polymarket. This low probability indicates traders view a specific scoreline as unlikely relative to the broader distribution of possible results. The settlement window closes at midnight UTC on 16 May, with any score not explicitly listed resolving to "Any Other Score"—a catch-all category that typically captures the majority of trading volume in football exact-score markets.
Exact-score markets in South American football have historically shown that single outcomes rarely exceed 10–12% implied probability unless one team is heavily favoured and a narrow victory is expected. Coquimbo Unido and Audax Italiano are mid-table sides in the Chilean league, making lopsided scorelines less probable than draws or single-goal margins. The 5% current price suggests the listed outcome sits outside the modal range of expected results, consistent with how traders typically distribute probability across 15–20 possible scorelines in evenly matched fixtures.
Traders should monitor team news, injury reports, and any fixture changes closer to the match date. Recent form, head-to-head records, and whether either side has European or Copa Libertadores commitments affecting squad rotation will influence scoring patterns. Any postponement would extend the settlement window, keeping the market open until the match concludes. Weather conditions in Chile during May and referee assignments, if disclosed, may also shift probability distributions across specific scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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