Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Qingdao Xihaian FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Qingdao Xihaian FC will face Wuhan San Zhen FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The settlement window closes at 09:30 UTC that morning, approximately six hours before the scheduled kick-off. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability, indicating no traders are willing to bid on this outcome at any price, which typically signals either extreme confidence in an alternative outcome or minimal liquidity at present.
Chinese Super League matches have historically shown volatile pre-match trading patterns, particularly for lower-profile fixtures where squad rotation and injury news emerge in the final week. Qingdao Xihaian and Wuhan San Zhen are mid-table sides without the consistent media coverage afforded to Shanghai or Beijing clubs, meaning material information often surfaces late. The zero probability reading here likely reflects the early stage of market formation rather than settled conviction; comparable CSL matches have seen substantial repricing once team sheets and injury bulletins circulate.
Traders should monitor official squad announcements from both clubs in the week preceding the match, as well as any fixture congestion affecting either side's rotation strategy. Recent CSL seasons have seen increased emphasis on youth development, which can shift tactical approaches unpredictably. Weather conditions in Qingdao in May and any mid-week cup commitments for either club will also influence available player pools. The settlement window's early closure relative to kick-off time means information arriving on match day itself will not be reflected in final odds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$80K in lifetime turnover and $134K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $80K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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