Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 9 at 9:30 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Augsburg (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Borussia Mönchengladbach will travel to FC Augsburg on 9 May 2026 for a Bundesliga fixture scheduled to kick off at 14:30 CET (09:30 ET). This late-season encounter falls within the final weeks of the 2025–26 campaign, when league positions and European qualification spots are typically decided. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity on this particular market variant or a structural imbalance in available liquidity, rather than certainty about the outcome itself.
Historical precedent suggests that late-season Bundesliga matches between mid-table sides carry genuine uncertainty. Augsburg and Mönchengladbach have occupied similar positions in recent seasons—neither consistently challenging for European places nor fighting relegation—making their head-to-head records relatively competitive. Form trajectories in May often diverge sharply from earlier-season patterns as squad rotation and injury management intensify. The 0% reading on Polymarket likely indicates thin order-book depth rather than market consensus, a common pattern for secondary markets on less-trafficked fixtures.
Traders should monitor team news releases and injury confirmations in the week preceding the match, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Fixture congestion—whether either side faces midweek European or cup commitments—can materially affect squad availability and tactical approach. Recent Bundesliga standings and points-per-game trajectories for both clubs will clarify whether either team enters with specific objectives (securing qualification, avoiding relegation) that might influence intensity or risk appetite on the day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$128K in lifetime turnover and $2.1M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $122K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: