Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between CD Real Tomayapo and CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Real Tomayapo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
CD Real Tomayapo will host CD San Antonio Bulo Bolo in a Bolivian LFPB fixture on 9 May 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The halftime result market settles on the match outcome after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: home win, draw, or away win. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for the YES position, indicating traders are pricing an extremely low likelihood of the specified outcome at the interval.
Bolivian football's first division has historically produced competitive matches with relatively balanced halftime distributions. Real Tomayapo, based in Tarija, operates as a mid-table side with inconsistent form, whilst San Antonio Bolo Bolo represents a smaller provincial club. Halftime markets in lower-profile South American leagues typically reflect limited liquidity and information asymmetries; the 0% reading often signals either minimal trading activity or strong consensus against a particular outcome rather than genuine zero probability. Comparable LFPB fixtures have shown halftime results distributed across all three outcomes, though home advantage has provided modest statistical edge in first-half play.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or suspensions ahead of the fixture, though Bolivian clubs rarely issue formal announcements. Weather conditions in Tarija—elevation at 1,900 metres affects match pace—may influence first-half intensity. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on 9 May, allowing approximately four hours post-kickoff for final order adjustments. Current liquidity constraints suggest the market may experience significant probability shifts once trading volume increases closer to match time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$354 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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