Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Monday, May 11, 2026 between Club ABB and CD Oriente Petrolero.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Club ABB | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Club ABB vs. CD Oriente Petrolero) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Oriente Petrolero | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Club ABB will face CD Oriente Petrolero in a Bolivia LFPB fixture on Monday, 11 May 2026. The match represents a standard league encounter in Bolivia's top division, with settlement occurring at 19:00 UTC on the scheduled date. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% probability for a YES outcome, indicating the market views this as a near-even proposition with minimal edge priced in either direction.
Bolivian football fixtures at this level typically exhibit high volatility in pre-match pricing, partly because squad availability and team form can shift substantially in the weeks preceding matches. Historical LFPB encounters between mid-table and lower-tier clubs show win probabilities often cluster between 40–55% for the visiting or less-favoured side, depending on recent results and injury status. CD Oriente Petrolero has traditionally been a competitive outfit in Bolivian football, whilst Club ABB's recent performance trajectory will be material to how the probability should adjust from its current midpoint.
Traders should monitor official LFPB announcements regarding team news, suspensions, or fixture changes through early May. Injury reports and squad confirmations typically emerge in the 7–10 days before match day. Recent form data—available through Bolivian sports press outlets and official league records—will inform whether the current 49% fairly reflects underlying win probability or whether one side carries unpriced information. Fixture congestion in the Bolivian calendar and any continental competition demands on either squad could also shift availability and tactical approach.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Club ABB vs. CD Oriente Petrolero" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $746K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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