Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Sydney FC and Newcastle United Jets FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Sydney FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Newcastle United Jets FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Sydney FC will host Newcastle United Jets FC in an A-League fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The match represents a standard regular-season encounter in Australia's top-flight football competition, with the settlement window closing shortly after the scheduled kick-off time.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in a particular outcome or, more likely, a thin liquidity environment where no traders have yet committed capital at any price. Historical A-League derbies and inter-city matches between established clubs like Sydney and Newcastle typically attract moderate trading interest, though weekend fixtures often see delayed order-book activity until closer to kick-off. The absence of any YES bids suggests either that market participants are awaiting additional information before positioning, or that the order book has not yet accumulated sufficient depth to establish a meaningful price discovery mechanism.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news releases, injury confirmations, and any late fixture changes announced by the A-League in the days preceding 9 May. Recent form, available squad lists, and head-to-head records between the clubs will inform positioning as the settlement window approaches. The tight closure window—ending within hours of kick-off—means that live-match developments will have minimal impact on final settlement, making pre-match information asymmetries the primary driver of any trading activity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.a-league.com.au/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$86K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $84K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.a-league.com.au/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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