Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Gallego/Libre and Estevez/Farjat in the Cordoba, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gallego/Libre' if the team of Gallego/Libre advances against Estevez/Farjat. This market will resolve to 'Estevez/Farjat' if the team of Estevez/Farjat advances against Gallego/Libre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Cordoba (Doubles): Gallego/Libre vs Estevez/Farjat | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
The Cordoba doubles draw features an Argentine pairing of Gallego and Libre facing compatriots Estevez and Farjat in what is scheduled as a first-round encounter on 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for Gallego/Libre's advancement, suggesting near-parity between the two teams. This tight pricing indicates limited historical precedent or statistical separation between the pairings, with traders pricing in genuine uncertainty around the matchup dynamics.
Doubles tennis outcomes at lower-tier ATP events depend heavily on partnership chemistry and recent form rather than individual rankings alone. Comparable first-round Argentine derbies at regional tournaments have historically favoured the pairing with more recent competitive experience together, though home-court advantage in Cordoba could benefit either team. The 51% probability sits within the typical range for evenly-matched doubles contests where neither pair commands clear statistical superiority based on available data.
Traders should monitor official ATP Cordoba draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through the settlement window closing on 21 May. Weather disruptions in Argentina during May could trigger the seven-day delay clause, which would resolve the market to 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome. Recent tournament schedules suggest matches are typically completed within 48 hours of the scheduled date, minimising delay risk. Any last-minute partnership changes or player injury announcements would shift the order book materially, particularly given the current narrow spread.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Cordoba (Doubles): Gallego/Libre vs Estevez/Farjat" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $118 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: