Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA River Plate and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
River Plate and San Lorenzo will contest a Primera División Argentina fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation time plus stoppage. The market currently shows 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, indicating that traders have not yet priced in any specific scoreline outcome among the listed options. This reflects the early stage of market formation, where liquidity and pricing typically remain sparse until closer to match day.
Exact-score markets in Argentine football have historically shown wide distributions across plausible outcomes, with 1–1 and 1–0 results accounting for roughly 30–40% of combined probability in comparable fixtures. River Plate and San Lorenzo are established top-division sides with contrasting recent form trajectories; River Plate has generally maintained stronger league positioning, whilst San Lorenzo's consistency has varied. Historical head-to-head records between these clubs show moderate scoring patterns, typically ranging between 0–3 goals per match, which should inform baseline expectations for the order book as liquidity develops.
Traders should monitor team news in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly injury status of key attacking and defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the Argentine calendar—including Copa Libertadores commitments—may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions in Buenos Aires during early May could influence match tempo and scoring likelihood. As the settlement window closes on 10 May at 22:00 UTC, the order book will likely see increased activity and tighter pricing in the final 48 hours before kick-off, when team lineups become clearer.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$78 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $78 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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