Soccer

Trade: England vs. Costa Rica - Exact Score

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between England and Costa Rica, scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the England vs. Costa Rica match originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$585
Total Volume
$29
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$29
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-2 8% YES92% NO
Exact Score: 2-0 18% YES83% NO
Exact Score: 1-2 8% YES92% NO
Exact Score: 3-0 16% YES84% NO
Exact Score: 2-2 10% YES91% NO
Exact Score: 2-3 8% YES92% NO
Exact Score: 3-3 7% YES93% NO
Exact Score: 0-1 9% YES92% NO

Market context

England will face Costa Rica in a FIFA International Friendly on 10 June 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects an 8% implied probability for this outcome, suggesting traders view a specific scoreline as unlikely relative to the broader distribution of possible results.

Exact-score markets in international friendlies typically price low probabilities for any single outcome, given the wide range of plausible scorelines. England's recent friendly results have ranged from narrow victories to draws, whilst Costa Rica—a CONCACAF side—has shown variable form in preparatory matches. Historical precedent suggests that when a major European nation plays a Central American opponent in a friendly, scorelines cluster around 2–0 to 3–0 victories for the stronger side, though upsets and draws occur frequently enough to distribute probability across multiple outcomes. The current 8% probability reflects this fragmentation across dozens of possible exact scores.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and team news as the match approaches, particularly regarding England's availability of key players and any late tactical shifts. Costa Rica's preparation schedule and any injury updates will influence their defensive solidity. Friendly matches can be affected by rotation policies and experimental lineups, which may shift expected scorelines closer to the settlement date. Weather conditions at the venue and any last-minute venue changes should also be tracked, as these occasionally affect match dynamics and final tallies.

Wikipedia Context

  • England constituency election results in the 1929 United Kingdom general election
    England constituency election results in the 1929 United Kingdom general election

    This is a complete alphabetical list of election results from constituencies in England to the 35th Parliament of the United Kingdom at the 1929 general election, held on 30 May 1929.

  • Stace England
    Stace England

    Stace England is a musician from Cobden, Illinois, United States. He has released several solo recordings including Salt Sex Slaves documenting the Old Slave House near Equality, Illinois, and Greetings From Cairo, Illinois documenting the history of that city. Greetings From Cairo, Illinois was the subject of a radio documentary on VPRO Dutch National Broad

  • Mick Jagger
    Mick Jagger

    Sir Michael Philip Jagger is an English musician, songwriter, and film producer known as the lead singer and founder member of the Rolling Stones. Jagger has co-written most of the Stones' songs with lead guitarist Keith Richards; their songwriting partnership is one of the most successful in rock music history. His career has spanned more than six decades,

  • Kingdom of England
    Kingdom of England

    The Kingdom of England was a sovereign state on the island of Great Britain from 927, when all of the Anglo-Saxon kingdoms were united under the rule of Æthelstan, until 1 May 1707, when it relinquished its sovereignty along with Scotland to form the Kingdom of Great Britain, which would later become the United Kingdom. The Kingdom of England was among the m

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "England vs. Costa Rica - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$29 in lifetime turnover and $585 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for soccer contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "England vs. Costa Rica - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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