Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Backrooms (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on June 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| 60+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 80+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 50+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 70+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Backrooms film adaptation is scheduled for release in 2026, with its critical reception to be measured by the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score from professional critics. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, suggesting traders are pricing in a high likelihood that the film will achieve the specified Tomatometer threshold by the June 1 settlement date. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny, as it leaves minimal room for downside scenarios.
Horror and found-footage films have historically shown volatile critical reception, with scores ranging widely depending on execution quality and critical appetite at release. Recent comparable releases—such as A Quiet Place Day One (2024, 79%) and Insidious: The Red Door (2023, 71%)—demonstrate that studio horror films often receive mixed-to-positive reviews rather than universal acclaim. The Backrooms concept, drawn from internet creepypasta, carries both cult appeal and uncertainty regarding how traditional critics will evaluate its adaptation. Films based on niche online content have produced unpredictable results with critics.
Key catalysts include the film's official trailer release, which typically influences critical expectations and early sentiment. Production updates, director statements, and any festival premieres ahead of the wide release will provide signals about critical positioning. The settlement window extends to June 5 as a backstop, allowing time for Rotten Tomatoes data to populate fully after release. Traders should monitor industry tracking services and early critical reviews from major outlets in the weeks preceding June 1 to assess whether the current 100% probability reflects genuine consensus or mispricing.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading ""Backrooms" Rotten Tomatoes score?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for rotten tomatoes contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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