Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Player 18 | — | |
| Anthony Stolarz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spencer Knight | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Arvid Soderblom | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player 10 | — | |
| Scott Wedgewood | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Philipp Grubauer | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Vezina Trophy, awarded annually to the NHL's most outstanding goaltender as voted by general managers and a panel of broadcasters, will be presented following the 2025–26 regular season. The award has historically favoured goaltenders on playoff-contending teams with strong underlying metrics across save percentage, goals against average, and games played. Settlement occurs on 30 June 2026, following the Stanley Cup Finals and official NHL awards announcements.
Historical precedent suggests the trophy typically concentrates probability amongst three to five leading candidates by season's end. Recent winners including Igor Shesterkin (2022–23) and Sergei Bobrovsky (2023–24) demonstrated the award's sensitivity to both individual performance and team success; goaltenders on struggling franchises rarely contend despite elite statistics. The voting structure—combining general manager input with broadcaster assessment—introduces a subjective element that can favour narrative momentum and playoff visibility alongside raw numbers.
Traders should monitor roster changes and injury developments across contending teams through the season, as goaltender depth charts shift considerably. The trade deadline in February 2026 typically reshapes competition, with acquisitions of established starters occasionally altering probability distributions. Regular season performance metrics become increasingly concrete from January onwards, whilst playoff performance in April and May can influence final voting despite not directly counting towards the award. Current order book formation reflects uncertainty across the full candidate field; meaningful probability consolidation typically emerges only after the All-Star break in February.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nhl.com/awards. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "NHL Vezina Trophy Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$101K in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for nhl contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 7 months — long enough that the order book is mature and price is well-anchored to fundamentals.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/awards. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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