Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Nepal and United Arab Emirates scheduled for 2026-04-30 in ICC Cricket World Cup League Two. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Nepal will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Nepal. The outcome corresponding to United Arab Emirates will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from United Arab Emirates.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| NPL | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ARE | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Nepal and the United Arab Emirates will face each other on 30 April 2026 in an ICC Cricket World Cup League Two fixture. The market asks which team will produce the match's highest individual batter, with settlement determined by ESPN Cricinfo's final statistics. The current 0% implied probability on the YES side (Nepal) reflects Polymarket's order book positioning, where traders are pricing Nepal's chances of having the top individual scorer as negligible relative to the UAE alternative.
Historical matchups between these sides provide limited direct precedent, though both nations compete regularly in ODI League cricket. Nepal has developed stronger batting depth in recent years, with players like Rohit Paudel and Anil Sah capable of substantial individual scores. The UAE, conversely, has relied on experienced campaigners such as Babar Azam and Virat Kohli (when available for league fixtures), though squad composition varies considerably across competitions. The 0% probability suggests traders view the UAE as overwhelming favourites to field the match's leading batter, likely reflecting recent form data and squad strength assessments available on Polymarket's order book.
Traders should monitor official team announcements regarding squad selection, expected in the weeks preceding the fixture. Injury updates, particularly affecting established batters in either squad, could shift probability significantly. Weather conditions at the venue on match day—affecting pitch behaviour and batting conditions—represent a secondary catalyst. Recent ICC League Two results and individual batter form sheets will inform late-market repricing before the 8 May settlement window closes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for international cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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