Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Bohemian Guardians and BRUTE in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bohemian Guardians" if Bohemian Guardians win the match against BRUTE. This market will resolve to "BRUTE" if BRUTE win the match against Bohemian Guardians. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Bohemian Guardians face BRUTE in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, scheduled for 3 May 2026 at 05:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a Bohemian Guardians victory, reflecting either extreme confidence in BRUTE or minimal trading activity at this early stage. With settlement occurring shortly after the scheduled match conclusion, the market's depth and liquidity will likely remain thin until closer to fixture day.
The 0% implied probability warrants scrutiny given typical regional competition dynamics. Hitpoint Masters represents the secondary tier of UK and Irish League of Legends competition, where team strength varies considerably season to season. Historical precedent suggests that markets on lower-tier esports fixtures often misprice due to sparse information flow and limited trader participation. Teams in this division have demonstrated capacity for upset results, particularly when facing opponents with inconsistent recent form or roster changes.
Key catalysts include any official roster announcements or injury disclosures from either organisation in the days preceding the match, as well as confirmation of the fixture's scheduling status. Traders should monitor whether either team competes in other tournaments immediately before 3 May, as fatigue or scrim prioritisation can affect performance. The seven-day delay clause in the settlement conditions creates additional uncertainty; any postponement beyond 10 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/hitpointcz. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$53K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/hitpointcz. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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