Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Korea Republic and Papua New Guinea scheduled for 2026-05-09 in T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Korea Republic will be considered correct if Korea Republic is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Papua New Guinea.The outcome corresponding to Papua New Guinea will be considered correct if Papua New Guinea is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Korea Republic.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KOR | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| PNG | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Korea Republic and Papua New Guinea will contest the T20 World Cup East Asia-Pacific Qualifier Regional Final on 9 May 2026, with this market tracking which side strikes more sixes during the match. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Korea Republic, suggesting the market is pricing Papua New Guinea as the overwhelming favourite to hit more maximums. This pricing emerges from the cumulative bids and offers across the book, where traders have positioned heavily against the Korean outcome.
Historical context for T20 cricket between these nations remains sparse given the qualifier's regional scope and the relative development gap in cricket infrastructure. Korea Republic has invested in cricket development but remains an emerging programme within the global game, whilst Papua New Guinea has competed in ICC events and demonstrated stronger T20 exposure. Six-hitting correlates strongly with batting depth, experience at the format's highest levels, and player familiarity with aggressive stroke-play under pressure—dimensions where PNG typically holds advantage based on recent ICC qualifier participation.
Traders should monitor squad announcements from both boards, expected in April 2026, which will clarify batting line-ups and the presence of any overseas-based players with T20 experience. Pitch reports from the venue closer to match day will inform expectations around boundary dimensions and ball behaviour. Weather conditions on 9 May could materially affect six-hitting frequency; overcast conditions typically reduce carry, whilst clear skies favour maximum-hitting. The settlement window closes 16 May, allowing time for official ESPN Cricinfo statistics to be finalised and published.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Korea Republic vs Papua New Guinea - Mos" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$942 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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