Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between Xipto Esports and ROY Esports in the VCL Southeast Asia: Last Chance, initially scheduled for June 1 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xipto Esports" if Xipto Esports win the match against ROY Esports. This market will resolve to "ROY Esports" if ROY Esports win the match against Xipto Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: XE (-1.5) vs ROY Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Xipto Esports and ROY Esports are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Valorant match on 1 June as part of VCL Southeast Asia's Last Chance qualifier. This fixture determines advancement opportunities within the regional competitive circuit, where both organisations are vying for qualification through the final qualification window. The match is set for 9:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 19:30 UTC the same day.
The 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either exceptionally strong conviction around Xipto's capabilities or limited liquidity in the market at present. Historical precedent in VCL Southeast Asia suggests that seeding and recent tournament performance heavily influence outcomes; teams entering Last Chance qualifiers typically carry momentum from preceding stages. Comparable Valorant regional qualifiers show that favourites in such high-stakes fixtures rarely trade at absolute certainty unless one roster has demonstrated clear dominance or the opposing team faces documented roster instability.
Traders should monitor official VCL Southeast Asia announcements regarding any roster changes, player availability, or scheduling confirmations through to match day. Recent esports scheduling disruptions have occasionally forced rescheduling beyond the seven-day threshold, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Technical issues during play—whilst uncommon—remain a settlement consideration under the market's terms. Current liquidity constraints appear to be anchoring the probability at extremes; meaningful new information regarding either team's preparation or competitive standing could shift the order book substantially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Xipto Esports vs ROY Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Last Chance" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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