Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Paper Rex and Global Esports in the VCT Pacific Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win the match against Global Esports. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports win the match against Paper Rex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Paper Rex and Global Esports are scheduled to face off in the upper bracket semifinal of the VCT Pacific Playoffs on 8 May at 4:00 AM ET, competing in a best-of-three Valorant match. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in Paper Rex's superiority or minimal liquidity at current price levels, where traders have not yet committed capital to back Global Esports at any meaningful odds.
Paper Rex have established themselves as the region's dominant force, consistently finishing atop Pacific standings and winning the most recent international events. Global Esports, whilst a competitive regional team, have historically struggled against top-tier opposition in playoff contexts. The current probability distribution suggests the market is pricing this as a heavily favoured matchup for Paper Rex based on recent head-to-head records and tournament performance data. However, 0% probabilities on binary markets typically indicate thin order books rather than certainty—traders may simply be unwilling to back the underdog at the prices currently offered.
Traders should monitor team roster changes, recent scrim results, and any schedule adjustments closer to the event date. The settlement window extends to 14:00 UTC on 8 May, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion. Any significant roster disruptions, player illness, or technical issues affecting either team could shift market expectations. Additionally, the match's position as an upper bracket semifinal means the loser drops to the lower bracket rather than elimination, which may influence team preparation strategies and perceived urgency in the days preceding play.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$255K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $221K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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