Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between FUT Esports and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FUT Esports will face Eternal Fire in the upper bracket semifinal of the VCT EMEA Playoffs on 8 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-three match is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 21:00 UTC the same day. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at current pricing or a consensus view that one team is heavily favoured, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given typical match volatility in professional Valorant.
Historical context from recent VCT EMEA tournaments shows that upper bracket semifinals frequently feature competitive matchups between top-seeded teams, with outcomes often determined by map pool advantages, recent form, and player-specific performance on agents like Jett and Omen. FUT Esports and Eternal Fire have both qualified through the regular season, suggesting comparable competitive standing, which typically produces odds reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than extreme skew. Previous EMEA playoff matches between similarly ranked sides have settled across a wider probability range.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute schedule changes through official VCT channels up to match start. Scrim results and recent LAN performance data, typically shared on team social media in the 48 hours before playoffs, can shift market expectations. The settlement window's 7-day cancellation clause is relevant given esports scheduling unpredictability, though VCT EMEA fixtures have maintained reliability in 2025. Any technical issues during the match that prevent completion would trigger the 50-50 resolution condition outlined in the market terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$318K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $315K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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