Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Quarterfinal 3 match between Falcons Esport and FaZe Clan in the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Falcons Esport" if Falcons Esport win the match against FaZe Clan. This market will resolve to "FaZe Clan" if FaZe Clan win the match against Falcons Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Falcons Esport (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Falcons Esport and FaZe Clan meet in the quarterfinals of the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 15 May at 6:00PM ET. The winner advances to the semi-finals of one of Rainbow Six Siege's premier international tournaments. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders view both teams as evenly matched heading into the fixture.
FaZe Clan enters as the more established organisation with consistent top-four finishes at recent majors, whilst Falcons Esport has shown variable performance across 2024 and early 2025 qualifying events. Historical matchups between these sides have been competitive, with neither team demonstrating decisive dominance. The 50-50 implied probability aligns with their comparable recent form trajectories, though FaZe's deeper experience in high-pressure playoff environments has historically translated to marginal advantages in close series.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute schedule adjustments, as the settlement window extends to 16 May 04:00 UTC to account for potential delays. Team announcements regarding player availability or tactical adjustments in the 48 hours before match time could shift market sentiment. The best-of-three format means a single map veto or unexpected player substitution carries material weight; watch for any official BLAST communications regarding match conditions or venue changes that might affect either team's preparation timeline.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs FaZe Clan (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $876 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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