Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Team Spirit and Team Yandex in the MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Team Spirit and Team Yandex are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three match within the Mobile Legends Bang Bang Continental Championships Regular Season on 3 May at 9:30AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Team Spirit to win, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome with minimal uncertainty priced in.
Team Spirit has established itself as a dominant force in competitive Mobile Legends, consistently performing at the highest level across regional and international tournaments. Team Yandex, whilst a competitive regional side, typically operates at a lower tier within the continental hierarchy. Historical matchups between teams of significantly disparate skill levels in MLBB tournaments have occasionally produced upsets, though the frequency remains low enough that markets often reflect heavy favouritism towards the stronger squad. The current 100% probability suggests the market is treating this as a heavily one-sided fixture with minimal expectation of a Yandex victory.
Traders should monitor official MLBB Continental Championships announcements regarding roster changes, player availability, or scheduling adjustments prior to the 3 May fixture. Any last-minute roster swaps or injury disclosures affecting either team could shift the probability, particularly if Team Spirit's key players are unavailable. The settlement window closes at 19:45 UTC on 3 May, providing a seven-day buffer before the 50-50 tie-resolution clause activates should the match be delayed beyond that period without completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/mlbb_cis. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular " are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$124 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/mlbb_cis. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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