Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Ground Zero Gaming and CTBC Flying Oyster in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against CTBC Flying Oyster. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win the match against Ground Zero Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Ground Zero Gaming will face CTBC Flying Oyster in a League of Legends match within the LCP (League Championship Series) regular season, scheduled for 9 May 2026 at 05:00 ET. The best-of-three fixture represents a standard regular season encounter in Taiwan's primary competitive LoL circuit. Settlement occurs at 15:10 UTC on the same date, allowing approximately ten hours for match completion from the scheduled start time.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at the YES side or genuine uncertainty regarding match execution rather than Ground Zero Gaming's competitive prospects. Historical patterns in regional LoL markets show that regular season matches rarely fail to complete, with cancellations typically limited to force majeure circumstances or player health emergencies. The LCP maintains consistent scheduling discipline, making the 50-50 tie-resolution clause a low-probability outcome. Comparable fixtures between established LCP teams have settled decisively in favour of one competitor in over 95% of cases.
Traders should monitor official LCP announcements regarding roster changes, player availability, or scheduling modifications in the week preceding 9 May. Recent LCP communications typically appear through the league's official channels and team social media accounts. Equipment failures or technical issues that have occasionally delayed regional matches are generally resolved within the settlement window. The absence of current news regarding either team's status suggests standard fixture conditions, though the zero probability may indicate limited market participation rather than substantive information asymmetry.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lolpacificen. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$182K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $181K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lolpacificen. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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