Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between BoostGate Esports and Team Phoenix in the TCL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "BoostGate Esports" if BoostGate Esports win the match against Team Phoenix. This market will resolve to "Team Phoenix" if Team Phoenix win the match against BoostGate Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: BGT (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
BoostGate Esports face Team Phoenix in a Turkish Champions League (TCL) regular season best-of-three match scheduled for 13 May at 1:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 89% implied probability favouring BoostGate, suggesting the market views them as substantial favourites. This probability has formed through trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the YES side (BoostGate victory) commanding a significant premium over the NO side.
TCL regular season matches between established organisations typically resolve without incident, though the league has experienced occasional scheduling disruptions. BoostGate's historical performance relative to Team Phoenix's roster strength and recent form would inform the baseline expectation embedded in the 89% figure. Comparable matchups in regional Turkish competition have generally reflected win probabilities in the 75–90% range for favoured teams, suggesting the current market pricing aligns with standard competitive expectations rather than representing an outlier assessment.
Traders should monitor official TCL announcements regarding any roster changes, player availability, or scheduling confirmations through the league's official channels and team social media accounts in the days preceding 13 May. The settlement window closes 11 May at 23:30 UTC, creating a narrow window between the scheduled match date and resolution deadline. Any postponement beyond 20 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution under the market's terms, introducing tail risk that could shift pricing if delays appear probable.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/riotgamesturkish. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$61K in lifetime turnover and $2.5M of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $61K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/riotgamesturkish. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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