Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Walczaki and AaB Esport in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 2 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against AaB Esport. This market will resolve to "AaB Esport" if AaB Esport win the match against Walczaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs AaB Esport (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Walczaki and AaB Esport are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 2 May at 1:00 PM ET as part of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for match completion, suggesting traders expect the fixture to proceed as scheduled without cancellation, delay beyond seven days, or a tied result. This probability formation indicates confidence in the tournament's operational stability and both teams' availability.
Group stage matches in European Counter-Strike tournaments typically proceed without disruption, though fixture cancellations remain a material risk given player roster changes, visa complications, or organisational issues that have affected regional competitions historically. AaB Esport and Walczaki operate within the mid-tier European competitive landscape where match postponements occur at roughly 3–5% frequency across comparable tournaments, yet the current market pricing suggests traders are discounting these tail risks substantially. The settlement window extends to 2 May at 23:00 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time.
Traders should monitor tournament announcements from BC Game Masters regarding fixture confirmations, team roster declarations, and any scheduling adjustments in the 48 hours preceding the match. Roster changes or player availability issues announced late in the week could shift market expectations. The match outcome itself—whether Walczaki or AaB Esport prevails—remains entirely open from a competitive standpoint, but the current pricing reflects near-certainty that the match will be played to completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs AaB Esport (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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