Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between METANOIA WOLVES and MIBR Academy in the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 2 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win the match against MIBR Academy. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win the match against METANOIA WOLVES. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Match Winner | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
METANOIA WOLVES face MIBR Academy in a Gamers Club Liga Série A Quarterfinal 2 best-of-three match scheduled for 2 June at 22:00 UTC. The fixture represents a significant playoff stage in Brazil's premier Counter-Strike competition, where both teams compete for advancement to the semi-finals. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding which squad will secure the series victory.
Historical context from recent Gamers Club Liga Série A seasons shows that academy-level rosters often perform unpredictably against established organisations, particularly in playoff environments where preparation intensity increases. MIBR Academy, operating under the MIBR banner, typically benefits from institutional resources and coaching infrastructure, whilst METANOIA WOLVES represents a more independent competitive unit. Previous matchups between similarly-positioned teams in this league have frequently gone to decisive third maps, suggesting the 50-50 probability reflects genuine competitive parity rather than clear favouritism.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the 48 hours preceding the match, as Counter-Strike rosters occasionally shift due to injury or contractual issues. Schedule adherence matters significantly given the settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled start time; any substantial delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome. Recent Gamers Club communications regarding playoff infrastructure and broadcast scheduling should be tracked, as technical issues have occasionally affected fixture timing in previous seasons.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$469 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $469 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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