Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Keyd and Vasco Esports in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win the match against Vasco Esports. This market will resolve to "Vasco Esports" if Vasco Esports win the match against Keyd. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 78% YES | 23% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 66% YES | 34% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Vasco Esports (+1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Keyd and Vasco Esports are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 12 May at 1:00 PM ET as part of the BetBoom Storm Group Stage. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 78% implied probability for Keyd victory, suggesting the market perceives a substantial skill or form advantage. This probability has been established through active trading on the platform's order book, where buyers and sellers have converged on pricing that favours the Brazilian outfit.
Keyd has historically maintained a stronger competitive standing within the South American Counter-Strike circuit compared to Vasco Esports, though both organisations operate within a regional ecosystem where roster stability and recent tournament performance fluctuate considerably. Recent months have seen both teams participate in qualifying events and regional competitions, with Keyd generally posting more consistent results. The 78% probability aligns with typical market pricing for matches where one team holds a documented competitive edge, though not an overwhelming favourite status.
Traders should monitor official BetBoom Storm announcements regarding any schedule changes, roster confirmations, or technical issues that might affect match timing or completion. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 12 May, providing a narrow window for resolution. Any delays extending beyond seven days without a determined winner will trigger a 50-50 resolution. Player availability announcements or last-minute roster changes in the 48 hours preceding the match could shift the order book materially, particularly given the regional nature of South American esports logistics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$65 in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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