Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between HyperSpirit and Atreides in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B, initially scheduled for June 3 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HyperSpirit" if HyperSpirit win the match against Atreides. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides win the match against HyperSpirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
HyperSpirit face Atreides in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series #4, Group B stage, scheduled for 3 June at 10:00 AM ET. The match determines progression through the regional qualifier system, with the winner advancing further in the competition structure. Settlement occurs at 20:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with a seven-day grace period for completion before the market resolves to 50-50 in case of delays or non-completion.
The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 36% implied probability for HyperSpirit victory, suggesting market participants favour Atreides as the likely winner. This probability formation typically reflects recent team performance metrics, roster stability, head-to-head records, and perceived map pool advantages. CCT Europe qualifiers historically feature competitive mid-tier European rosters where individual tournament form and recent scrim results carry substantial weight; teams entering qualifiers with momentum from online league play or recent LAN appearances tend to outperform expectations.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster changes or player availability through early June, as stand-in players or last-minute substitutions materially affect competitive balance. Fixture scheduling confirmation remains critical—CCT events occasionally experience delays or rescheduling. Recent form indicators from ESEA or Faceit ladder activity, published by tournament organisers or team social channels, provide concrete data points on current player condition. Map veto patterns and historical matchup data, where available through HLTV or similar databases, help contextualise whether the current probability adequately prices structural advantages either team may possess.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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