Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between GenOne and Ursa in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GenOne" if GenOne win the match against Ursa. This market will resolve to "Ursa" if Ursa win the match against GenOne. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
GenOne and Ursa will face off in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, with the fixture scheduled for 9 May 2026 at 07:00 ET. The match forms part of the broader CCT Europe competitive calendar, which has established itself as a significant regional circuit for mid-tier European teams. Current order book activity on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, with the crowd-implied probability sitting at 0% YES, reflecting either minimal trading interest or a technical absence of liquidity formation at this early stage.
The 0% probability reading warrants contextual scrutiny. In esports prediction markets, such extreme readings often emerge when fixtures are scheduled far in advance with limited historical data on the specific matchup or when neither team has established sufficient market recognition. GenOne and Ursa operate within the competitive European Counter-Strike ecosystem but lack the profile of tier-one organisations; comparable group-stage matches in regional circuits typically see modest trading volumes unless one team carries substantial odds-movement history or recent roster changes trigger market attention.
Traders monitoring this market should track roster announcements, injury or availability disclosures, and any schedule revisions from the CCT organisers. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing a buffer for delays, though forfeiture or disqualification would trigger resolution based on the stated conditions. Early-stage liquidity formation often depends on whether either team experiences notable personnel changes or if upstream tournament results shift competitive positioning heading into this fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$52K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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