Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Chinggis Warriors and 5star in the Asian Champions League Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Chinggis Warriors" if Chinggis Warriors win the match against 5star. This market will resolve to "5star" if 5star win the match against Chinggis Warriors. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: CW (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Chinggis Warriors and 5star will contest a Counter-Strike lower bracket semifinal in the Asian Champions League Group A on 13 May 2026 at 05:00 ET. The match is a best-of-three format, with the winner advancing in the tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, reflecting the 0% implied probability, suggesting either minimal market participation at this early stage or strong consensus positioning ahead of the settlement window closing on 13 May at 16:00 UTC.
Asian esports betting markets historically show thin liquidity for regional qualifiers and lower bracket matches, particularly when scheduled outside peak trading hours in Western markets. Comparable Counter-Strike tournaments in Asia have seen similar probability distributions when matches involve lesser-known rosters or occur during off-peak windows. The absence of trading activity here may indicate that sophisticated traders are waiting for additional roster information, recent form data, or map pool announcements before committing capital.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of the match schedule, any last-minute roster changes or stand-in announcements, and recent head-to-head results between the teams. Tournament organisers typically release final match details 48–72 hours before play. Traders should monitor whether either team experiences connectivity issues or scheduling conflicts common to regional tournaments. The seven-day delay clause creates settlement risk if technical problems arise, though Asian Champions League fixtures have historically maintained schedule integrity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://live.bilibili.com/1799897222. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://live.bilibili.com/1799897222. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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