Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Nerve of Cow and hindsight in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 5 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nerve of Cow" if Nerve of Cow win the match against hindsight. This market will resolve to "hindsight" if hindsight win the match against Nerve of Cow. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nerve of Cow and hindsight are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 5 May at 3:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Nerve of Cow, indicating the market has priced this fixture with extreme confidence in one outcome. This pricing typically emerges from a combination of team strength assessments, recent form data, and roster stability considerations amongst the trading cohort.
ESEA Advanced Europe matches historically show volatile pricing when roster changes or player absences occur shortly before fixture dates. Teams competing at this tier frequently experience lineup disruptions due to player commitments across multiple tournaments or regional qualifiers. The settlement window extends to 6 May at 01:55 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches, though most ESEA fixtures resolve within 24 hours of their scheduled start time.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official fixture announcements and both teams' social media channels for any postponement notices or roster confirmations in the 48 hours preceding the match. Recent player transfers or stand-in arrangements can materially shift competitive balance. The current extreme probability pricing leaves minimal margin for position adjustment; any credible information regarding team availability or cancellation risk would likely trigger significant order book movement before settlement.
Counter-Strike (CS) is a series of multiplayer tactical first-person shooter video games, in which opposing teams attempt to complete various objectives. The series began on Windows in 1999 with the release of the first game, Counter-Strike. It was initially released as a mod for Half-Life that was designed by Minh Le and Jess Cliffe before the rights to the
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$133 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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