Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Bushido Wildcats and ENRAGE in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win the match against ENRAGE. This market will resolve to "ENRAGE" if ENRAGE win the match against Bushido Wildcats. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Bushido Wildcats face ENRAGE in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, scheduled for 4 May at 12:30 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certainty event. This extreme probability typically emerges when the market perceives minimal uncertainty around match occurrence rather than outcome favourability for either team.
ESEA Advanced Europe matches historically demonstrate high completion rates, with cancellations or delays beyond the seven-day resolution window remaining uncommon. The binary resolution structure—favouring either team or settling 50-50 on cancellation—means the current pricing reflects confidence in the match proceeding to a decisive result. Comparable fixtures in regional European Counter-Strike leagues show similar completion patterns, though technical issues or roster unavailability occasionally disrupt scheduling.
Traders monitoring this market should track official ESEA communications and team roster announcements through 4 May. Any player availability issues, server problems, or league postponements would materially shift the probability away from the current extreme. The settlement window closes at 22:50 UTC on 4 May, allowing approximately ten hours beyond the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Given the one-sided pricing, the primary risk lies in non-completion scenarios rather than competitive uncertainty between the teams.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/michass00. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ENRAGE (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$192 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/michass00. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: