Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between B8 and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against B8. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% YES | 90% NO |
B8 and FUT Esports will contest a lower bracket semifinal match in Counter-Strike at IEM Atlanta, scheduled for 13 May at 16:30 UTC. The match is a best-of-three format within Group A of the tournament's lower bracket structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for B8 victory, indicating either extremely confident market pricing or minimal liquidity depth at current levels.
The 100% probability reading warrants scrutiny given typical esports match dynamics. Lower bracket matches in major tournaments frequently feature competitive outcomes, with upsets occurring at measurable frequency. Historical precedent from IEM events shows that seeding advantages and bracket positioning do not guarantee outcomes, particularly when teams possess comparable skill levels. The absence of any meaningful probability mass assigned to FUT Esports suggests either that market participants hold exceptionally strong conviction regarding B8's superiority, or that the order book lacks sufficient depth to accommodate alternative positions at reasonable spreads.
Traders should monitor several developments before settlement on 13 May at 21:30 UTC. Roster changes or player availability announcements could alter competitive balance materially. Recent form data, practice scrim results, and map pool preferences for both teams warrant attention, as Counter-Strike outcomes depend heavily on tactical preparation and map selection. Tournament scheduling delays remain possible, particularly given the complexity of multi-team bracket management. Any postponement beyond seven days without completion triggers the 50-50 resolution clause, creating tail risk that current pricing may not adequately reflect.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.1M in lifetime turnover and $632K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.1M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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